Staff
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Michael J. ScottPacific Northwest National Laboratory |
Mike is a Staff Scientist in the Technology Planning and Deployment Group. He joined PNNL in 1980 with a Ph.D. degree and M.A. degree in Economics from the University of Washington, and a B.A. degree in Economics from Washington State University. He was previously on the staff of the Institute of Social and Economic Research, University of Alaska, from 1975-1979.
Over the last 15 years, Mike has specialized in studying the effects of global environmental change on natural resources and the economy, particularly impacts on human systems and the effects of uncertainty. He has managed a series of projects analyzing the effects of global warming on water supply and utilization of the Columbia River system by hydropower, irrigation, and fisheries interests, the impact of climate change on human settlements, and policies for limiting greenhouse gas emissions (including carbon trading). Dr. Scott also contributed to the agricultural sections of PNNL's Second Generation Model, used to estimate the effects of economic development and policy on global warming (the Second Generation Model). He was a convening lead author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) Second Assessment Report Climate Change 1995 in the topic area of Human Settlements; was a contributing author to the IPCC Special Report The Regional Impacts of Climate Change; and a coordinating lead author role for the IPCC's Third Assessment Report Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. His current research is on the impacts of climate change and variability, emissions trading, and uncertainty in integrated assessment models.
Mike has conducted numerous regional socioeconomic impact analyses using a variety of regional models and methods (including input-output, econometric, and economic base models) to estimate the local economic and demographic effects of economic activity in a variety of sectors and locations, including Washington, Tennessee, New Mexico, Alaska, Idaho, and the Great Plains. He has examined socioeconomic consequences of startup, re-licensing, and decommissioning of nuclear power plants and nuclear waste storage systems in Washington, Maryland, South Carolina, Arkansas, Georgia, Utah, Wyoming, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Oregon, and Tennessee; closure of aluminum mills in the Pacific Northwest, and coal mines in Appalachia, and is a resource to DOE and NRC in the area of environmental justice
Mike is a member of the American Economic Association, Western Economic Association, American Agricultural Economics Association, American Geophysical Union, serves as a referee for several journals, and serves on Board of Directors, Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Conference.